Update: US EPA Comments on Draft American Clean Energy and Security Act
Following up from my previous post on the introduction of the Waxman-Markey Discussion Draft, the US Environmental Protection Agency (E.P.A.) yesterday released its analysis of the draft American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (ACESA). Here is a copy of the full analysis, or if you prefer, the summary.
What is most interesting to me, as the NY Times reported, the E.P.A.’s analysis suggests that under the draft plan, the share of low-carbon and zero-carbon energy sources — including renewables like wind and solar, as well as nuclear and carbon-capture plants — would rise to 26 percent of the nation’s energy mix by 2030, and could reach 46 percent by 2050. Without the policy, that share would remain at a steady 14 percent, the E.P.A. estimated.
In short, the ACESA would be an incredible boon to the renewable energy sector in the United States, and I would contend for Canada as well, for two principal reasons. First, the draft Act provides for carbon offsets to be obtained from both domestic and international sources. Good news for Canada. Second, any US climate change legislation would certainly have to be followed to a great extent in Canada. I just can't imagine a US carbon regulated marketplace allowing trade with an non-carbon regulated Canadian market.
Now, before we get ahead of ourselves, we must understand that the US Congress is currently examining the draft legislation, and in all likelihood, the draft ACESA will be watered down by the special interests. But the renewable energy sector in Canada would be well served to follow the progress of this Act because its passing will mean a tremendous amount to our renewable energy sector, especially for the offset market but also for energy exports. At minimum, Canadian companies looking to trade with the US, will have to comply with the new US carbon standards and regulations.