The BCUC Says What?...in its LTAP Decision

The BCUC's decision on BC Hydro's 2008 Long Term Acquisition Plan released on Monday shocked the BC renewable energy industry as the BCUC rejected BC Hydro's 2008 LTAP, calling it "not in the public interest" and ordered that BC Hydro deliver a new LTAP no later than June 30, 2010. 

While the BCUC's decision spells uncertainty for the Provincial Government's 2007 Energy Plan, its related greenhouse gas reduction targets and the renewable energy industry as a whole, it is not, in my view, a death knell to BC's climate plan and the developing green energy economy. It is a set back, most definitely, but hopefully, and I fully expect it to be, a temporary one. 

Currently in this Province, there are billions of investment dollars eagerly awaiting the results of BC Hydro's clean power call - to build run-of-river, wind and biomass power projectsThe 43 proponents in the CPC bid a total of 17,000 GW/h per year of clean GHG reducing green energy projects into the Call. The Provincial Government cannot, and I expect it will not, ignore this, especially in the current economy. 

It is interesting to see the BCUC essentially remain status quo on the electricity make-up of the Province, even proposing that the capacity of BC Hydro's Burrard Thermal natural gas fired generation station be increased, putting Ol' Wheezy's social license to the test, in my view BC Hydro's Clean Power Call is not dead.  Specifically, here's what the BCUC's decision said about that: 

That notwithstanding, it is clear that BC Hydro has the scope, with or without Commission endorsement, to enter into such EPAs as it contemplated in the 2008 CPC. The Commission Panel finds that the appropriate forums within which the prudency of BC Hydro's decisions, and expenditures in that regard, if any, should be canvassed are, respectively, a section 71 proceeding and a revenue requirements proceeding, pending its next LTAP Application.

Clearly, the future of the CPC remains in the grasp of BC Hydro, and its sole shareholder, the Provincial Government. In my view, there is nothing in the BCUC's decision that would prevent BC Hydro from completing the CPC in the ordinary course, although I would expect it to pursue the lesser 3,000 GWh rather than offered 5,000 GWh, based on its arguments in the LTAP.  How it gets there, I think also depends in part on how much BC Hydro and the various CPC proponents are prepared, in the short term, to argue the merits of their respective projects at a section 71 (of the Utilities Commission Act) hearing or future revenue requirement application. A section 71 hearing before the BCUC on each EPA awarded was always part of the CPC. But now, given the BCUC's decision, the section 71 hearings would take longer and be slightly more contentious.

The way I see it, this is the opportunity to put the BC Government's green energy and climate change policies into law in this Province. In fact, given the BCUC's decision, now is the time for a comprehensive but specific renewable energy and climate change piece of legislation, such as Ontario's Green Energy Act, which would spell out in clear, the government's green energy and climate change goals. If British Columbia is truly going to be a renewable energy powerhouse, now is the time to show it. It is painfully obvious that the current blend of government policy, special directions from cabinet and spotty legislation has failed, and it must be corrected immediately with direct and comprehensive legislation. And while we're at it, let's also get the federal government on board with a national green energy law.

So where are we at now? At this stage there are too many questions which need answers from BC Hydro and most importantly, the Provincial Government. The Province simply cannot allow BC Hydro cancel the clean power call, even in light of the BCUC's decision. What is clear and hasn't changed is this: the BC Energy Plan and Special Direction No. 10 requires the Province to be electricity self-sufficient, plus 3,000 GW/h of insurance, by 2016, and the Province's climate plan mandates a reduction of GHG emitting electricity generation. Your typical large scale renewable energy project takes approximately 4-6 years to build, so to put the CPC on hold, for even short time, would put the Province's electricity self-sufficiency goals and its climate agenda in serious jeopardy. I highly doubt the Province will let that happen. Stay tuned, there is certainly more to come on this most interesting and developing story.

Here is some of the commentary on the BCUC's decision:

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55,000 MW by 2025

That is the bold new vision for wind energy in Canada announced today by the Canadian Wind Energy Association as it kicked off the CanWEA Vancouver 2008 conference.  With WindVision 2025, CanWEA wants Canadians to start thinking big about wind energy, to power a greener future and to capture our fair share of the opportunities from the explosive worldwide growth in this industry.  Considering that today total energy produced from wind is approximately 2,500 MW, WindVision 2025 truly is an impresive agenda for the Canadian wind energy industry. 

Some of the highlights of WindVision 2025, as provided by CanWEA, are as follows: 

To make WindVision 2025 a reality, CanWEA believes that six things will have to happen: 

  1. Make wind energy a national priority;
  2. Provide a level playing field for electricity prices;
  3. Utilities must adopt wind-friendly procurement practices;
  4. Investment in smart grids;
  5. Incentives to stimulate equipment manufacturing; and
  6. Improve the efficiency of permitting and approval processes.

CanWEA believes that wind energy can satisfy 20 percent of Canada's electricity demand by 2025. Achieving this vision will pay huge dividends by: 

  1. Generating $79 billion of investment that will make Canada's wind energy sector a real player in a $1.8 trillion global wind industry;
  2. Creating at least 52,000 high quality, full-time jobs including many in rural communities;
  3. Producing $165 million in new annual revenues for municipalities;
  4. Adding 55,000 MW of clean generating capacity that will strengthen our electrical goals and head off potential power shortages;
  5. Stabilizing electricity prices; and
  6. Cutting Canada's annual greenhouse gas emissions by 17 Megatonnes.

Canada needs this new vision for green energy and given the buzz WindVision 2025 created today at the conference, the Canadian wind energy industry is more than willing and able to meet the challenge.

 

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Welcome to Vancouver, CanWEA

 The Canadian Wind Energy Association is holding its 24th Annual Conference and Trade Show (Fast Forward to Wind) in Vancouver on October 19-22. CanWEA's decision to come to Vancouver is a significant point of recognition as to the tremendous potential and business opportunities presented in the Province for harnessing energy from wind. British Columbia is one of the last provinces in Canada to embrace wind as an energy source with the first wind farm in British Columbia currently under construction and expected to generate power to the grid in January 2009.


The Conference with its expected 2,000 attendees from across Canada and around the world puts industry leaders, businesses and members of the wind community together to learn, network and promote wind energy and its possibilities. CanWEA will kick off Fast Forward to Wind by unveiling its bold, new vision for the crucial role wind energy can play in satisfying the country's increasing electricity demand. Premier Gordon Campbell will open the conference with a presentation on how wind energy will help B.C. meet its energy and environmental goals into the future. In addition, for the first time ever, the conference will be open to the public, so it can learn about wind energy. If you ever wanted to know anything about wind energy, be sure to drop by the Vancouver Trade and Convention Centre on Tuesday October 21, from 3 to 6pm.

We will be attending the Conference and you can be sure we will be blogging about it. So, check back here for updates on the comings and goings at CanWEA.